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The Great Depression in Economic Memory PDF Print E-mail
Written by Mark Thoma   
Wednesday, 01 September 2010

Jean Pisani-Ferry argues that "In extraordinary times, history is, in fact, a better guide than models estimated with data from ordinary times":

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Time to sell Australia PDF Print E-mail
Written by Cam Hui   
Wednesday, 01 September 2010

Back in late May I suggested that a cheap way to buy Canadian-like equity exposure would be to buy the Australian market, as both markets and economies are fairly similar. The chart below shows the relative returns of the iShares Australia ETF (EWA) relative to iShares Canada (EWC) and what the pair has done since the call:

Last Updated on Wednesday, 01 September 2010
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Economic Volatility: Expect More Business Cycles Than You Are Used To PDF Print E-mail
Written by Dr. Bill Conerly   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

I'm currently forecasting greater cyclicality in the economy than most people are used to. That's not an out-on-a-limb forecast, because we are just coming off the calmest period in American economic history. It may not have seemed calm at the time, but the era from 1983 through 2007 was indeed the least volatile on record.

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Will an M&A Boom Lift Sagging Markets? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Leo Kolivakis   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

Anupreeta Das and Gina Chon of the WSJ report, Deals Stage a Comeback:

Last Updated on Tuesday, 31 August 2010
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Ripe for a Sustainable Bullish Turn? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Leo Kolivakis   
Wednesday, 01 September 2010

It was a hot and beautiful day in Montreal. I met up with my former supervisor at the Caisse, Mario Therrien, who last year was appointed Senior Vice-President, Fund Management, with the Private Equity group.

Last Updated on Wednesday, 01 September 2010
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Fed Watch: No Clothes PDF Print E-mail
Written by Mark Thoma   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

Tim Duy is "anything but" reassured by Ben Bernanke's recent speech outlining the Fed's possible policy actions, and what it will take to put them into action:

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Current-Account Deficits Rise in Some BRICs PDF Print E-mail
Written by Eric Roseman   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

Though still small compared to bulging deficits in the industrialized economies, some BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India and China) have started to amass current-account deficits. India and Brazil have now entered current-account deficit territory this year on the heels of rapid economic growth and rising demand for imported goods.

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Are Pensions the Next AIG? PDF Print E-mail
Written by Leo Kolivakis   
Tuesday, 31 August 2010

Tyler Durden of Zero Hedge posted an excellent comment, Illinois Teachers' Retirement System Enters The Death Spiral: AIG Wannabe's Go-For-Broke Strategy Fails As Pension Fund Begins Liquidations.

Last Updated on Tuesday, 31 August 2010
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